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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed Decision in October?
No change
45%
25 bps increase
15%
3 more
$425K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
49 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
42%
September Meeting
38%
3 more
$1.87M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
64 trading now
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
12%
Yes
No
1
11%
Yes
No
$5.4K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$159
45 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
39%
Pause–Pause–Pause
26%
7 more
$655K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
63 trading now
Fed Decision in December?
No change
37%
25 bps increase
25%
3 more
$3.8K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
33 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
26%
0 (0 bps)
22%
4 more
$97K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$95
43 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
44%
Pause–Pause–Pause
16%
7 more
$608K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
47 trading now
Fed Decision in January?
No change
40%
25 bps increase
14%
3 more
$850.32
Vol.
Jan 27
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
31 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$753.44
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
41 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$5.9K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
44 trading now
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