DeltEvent
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Prediction markets
15 active markets
· category “Weather”
How it works
How to trade
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$596.09
Vol.
Sep 1
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
26 trading now
Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?
34%
chance
Yes
No
$1.7K
Vol.
Aug 12
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$73
43 trading now
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
55%
chance
Yes
No
$3.5K
Vol.
Apr 1
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
35 trading now
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
59%
chance
Yes
No
$147K
Vol.
Jan 10
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
58 trading now
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Cristobal
27%
Dolly
14%
18 more
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 2
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$94
41 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
≤6
17%
Yes
No
7
8%
Yes
No
$286.99
Vol.
Aug 10
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$148
24 trading now
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
31%
17–19
19%
5 more
$1.36M
Vol.
Dec 31
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$82
57 trading now
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$3.0K
Vol.
Jan 1
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
35 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
57%
1200–1249
3%
6 more
$80K
Vol.
Jan 10
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
40 trading now
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$676K
Vol.
Dec 31
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
49 trading now
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3
31%
0
16%
2 more
$6.7K
Vol.
Dec 1
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$82
33 trading now
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
4.6-4.8m sq km
24%
<4m sq km
16%
5 more
$65K
Vol.
Oct 1
weather
Potential payout
$25
→
$105
40 trading now
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