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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
32%
October 31
30%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
30%
Yes
No
1
20%
Yes
No
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$83
42 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
60%
Yes
No
$30K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
48 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
60-79
28%
80-99
26%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$88
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
700mm+
47%
650-700mm
24%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
34 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
45%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
34 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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